Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.284453 1.535229 1.838028 2.235635 2.751644 3.409609 4.330310e+00
2024-12-22 0.891840 1.170739 1.553080 2.133718 3.027923 4.417790 6.889291e+00
2024-12-29 0.724150 1.016744 1.457244 2.206652 3.537758 6.011158 1.159982e+01
2025-01-05 0.607356 0.895604 1.360917 2.225666 3.952478 7.706846 1.841373e+01
2025-01-12 0.513626 0.785162 1.246946 2.165749 4.182284 9.197603 2.700483e+01
2025-01-19 0.447449 0.705000 1.162862 2.129894 4.442223 10.983289 4.022329e+01
2025-01-26 0.417207 0.679684 1.170062 2.279392 5.218208 15.005908 7.572749e+01
2025-02-02 0.387409 0.649197 1.159507 2.385774 5.953660 19.890922 1.449645e+02
2025-02-09 0.352993 0.604177 1.109853 2.383259 6.377985 24.255074 2.553860e+02
2025-02-16 0.319639 0.556238 1.044836 2.322482 6.588020 28.076125 4.294295e+02
2025-02-23 0.298639 0.529761 1.021434 2.365914 7.208973 35.627984 9.724790e+02
2025-03-02 0.283223 0.512386 1.015091 2.456067 8.094243 47.602856 3.132395e+03
2025-03-09 0.264306 0.485858 0.984242 2.470094 8.712598 60.224931 1.253211e+04
2025-03-16 0.242182 0.450000 0.925525 2.382034 8.815719 68.788413 5.149903e+04
2025-03-23 0.231355 0.437357 0.921876 2.473098 9.928488 96.497012 6.214103e+07
2025-03-30 0.218573 0.418812 0.900121 2.496792 10.726070 127.148957 NaN
2025-04-06 0.203365 0.393138 0.855864 2.427711 10.925245 149.809095 NaN
2025-04-13 0.190806 0.372286 0.821492 2.386263 11.294062 183.150787 NaN
2025-04-20 0.187037 0.371424 0.841177 2.559672 13.413405 316.383946 NaN
2025-04-27 0.181604 0.365979 0.847240 2.683369 15.406084 534.574600 NaN
2025-05-04 0.172777 0.351413 0.824880 2.680443 16.347984 756.701990 NaN
2025-05-11 0.162828 0.333205 0.789394 2.609750 16.591041 953.186311 NaN
2025-05-18 0.156903 0.324443 0.780930 2.660260 18.207010 1606.442942 NaN